- https://arxiv.org/pdf/2106.11248.pdf short: https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/ztmBA8v6KvGChxw92/incentive-problems-with-current-forecasting-competitions#Designing_collaborative_scoring_rules
What are they?
How do they help?
- discrete time helps people who can’t be awake 24/7 updating immediately on everything
- need to balance
- using markets to gain insight
- keeping forecasters from just copying the median (this can either be done by discretising time or real money markets where people without new information (=an edge) just don’t trade)